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Listening to the market The market is saying “I am healthy. Both growth and cyclical can work. Just depends on fundamentals / quality”. Big tech up. Disruptive tech down. Industrial, transport, materials fine, but reopening names down. No clear signal about whether growth/tech or
Listening to the market
The market is saying “I am healthy. Both growth and cyclical can work. Just depends on
fundamentals / quality”. Big tech up. Disruptive tech down. Industrial, transport, materials fine, but
reopening names down. No clear signal about whether growth/tech or cyclical/value will work. UST
Yields continue to move down, but the market is now more immune to it. Disruptive tech taking a
break after a strong run. Delta variant concerns being priced in.
+Overall tape healthy .People leaning towards Large Cap, Quality
+FAAMG healthy. Fundamental prevails. This does not extend to TSLA NVDA (which are trading
more inline with Disruptive Tech)
‒Disruptive Tech down. ARKK MOON are down on heavy volume (see Appendix), even when UST
yields are falling. Our call on this reversal a few days ago is correct. Question now is where will it
hold? It is now retracing a 48 days / 30%+ upward move. Reasonable target would be $118 (17
Jun close; 200DM A). Will take some time, from a TA perspective. Disruptive Tech internals
confirming the downtrend. Sub-sectors PBW SOX WCLD SPCX IPO all down. ATOM is one of the
extremely high risk long -shot (either “conquer the world”, or “it's nothing” type) tech companies
-a leading indicator on the downside. Big down day. SE(best quality name) also down
‒Cyclicals. DTX, IYT and CPER holding well. SPHB is down. Seems like Delta Variant is still being
priced in. Financials are down due to yield dropping, so little signal there.
+Cryptocurrency holding nicely. Alts are moving higher. Esp. under the backdrop of $DXY rising.
$BTC's leadership in the cryptocurrency space looks very much officially over. First to decline.
Late in the bound. $LINK $ADA $DOT $BNB all doing better
UST yields remain front top of mind for investors. But I believe it is a technical driven move –it is
•UST Yields. 30Y dipped below its 200DMA into an area of heavy resistance. From a TA
perspective, it should bottom around that area. But, in terms oftiming, UST yield should be
under pressure until end of July (due to the unwinding of Treasury General Account).•UST Yields cont. Here is an important question –Is the yield moving due to technical factors
(liquidity/TGA/position) which will reverse in NT/MT? Is the yield moving due to fundamental
factors (peak growth/inflation; market believes the LT rate/inflation should be lower)? I tend to
believe it is the former. I do not believe fundamentals can explain where rates are (real rates are
very negative). Most people, if they are honest, have no idea why rates are moving down, or why
rates are so low in the first place. Another reason to believe it is a technical driven move is that
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Kemira
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CareDx
Gujarat Gas Limited & GSPL Scheme of Arrangement Investor Update 2024
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24 Pages
Gujarat Gas Limited & Gujarat State Petronet Limited