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1 SECOND QUARTER 2021 LETTER TO INVESTORS Dear Friends and Investors, The core portfolio for Massif Capital was up 3.1% net of fees during the second quarter of 2021. Year-to-date, the portfolio has returned 6.7%. PORTFOLIO ATTRIBUTION1 The dispersion of daily returns for the cor
SECOND QUARTER 2021 LETTER TO INVESTORS
Dear Friends and Investors,
The core portfolio for Massif Capital was up 3.1% net of fees during the second quarter of
2021. Year-to-date, the portfolio has returned 6.7%.
PORTFOLIO ATTRIBUTION1
The dispersion of daily returns for the core portfolio settled down significantly in the sec -
ond quarter2, along with a continued decline in daily liquidity for many positions following
a seemingly frantic level of trading that grew from October 2020 through February 2021.
Our mining investments continue to outperform, generating an aggregate 4% return to
the portfolio. Notable contributors include Ivanhoe Mines, Kazatomprom, and Alphamin
Resources. Our allocation to utilities, comprised of positions in AES, RWE, and Polaris In -
frastructure, dragged on returns, contributing -0.74%. Equinox and Vestas had particu -
larly challenging quarters. Both positions are discussed below in further detail.
Stretching back to the beginning of 2020, we are fortunate to have many of our positions
exceed our time-adjusted performance expectations. This is a great situation to be in but
not one without complications. Nearly 100% of our underwriting is concerned with funda -
mental changes to a business. On average, fundamental company change is a multi-year
process. Upside volatility that takes stock prices to our expected fundamental value raise
challenging questions about sell decisions. Do we sell because the firm’s price has hit our
expected value even though few of the fundamental factors necessary to justify that value
have yet to unfolded?
Complicating matters further, many of our businesses are cyclical, making them behav -
iorally challenging to hold for extended periods. As such, we need to be willing to handle
periods of higher multiples and accept drawdowns in route to a successful secular thesis.
One of the ways we can structurally build in patience is to measure the earnings power
of the portfolio constantly.3 For example, in the calendar year 2020, AES saw an 18% gain
in its share price. More than 100% of that price appreciation was attributable to pricing
multiple expansion, as profit margins and top-line revenue contracted. However, AES also
grew its per-share earnings power by roughly 25% over the course of 2020. THURSDAY, JULY 15, 2021
Top 5 Positive Contributors 2 n d Q t r
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